Four scenarios to where wireless might be headed.
11/24/2003
The worldwide telecom industry is huge, with a market share of more than $1000 billion (yes, that's a ‘b'). So it would behoove those in the wireless industry to try to figure out where the market is headed. The authors, five Swedes who make up the Wireless Foresight Project and boast a slew of post-graduate degrees that include electrical engineering, psychology, multimedia education, and technology, provide four descriptive scenarios that illustrate what the global wireless/telecom industry could look like in 2015. Among the scenarios are "Big Moguls and Snoopy Governments"—think market consolidation, reduced competition, and winner take all, and "Wireless Explosion—Creative Destruction," —think datacom winning over telecom, user-deployed networks, and an anarchistic underground culture. They are quick to point out, however, that these are not predictions, but possible descriptions of the future.