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    An Executive Order Worth $100 Billion: The Impact of an Immigration Ban’s Announcement on Fortune 500 Firms’ Valuation
    03 Nov 2020Working Paper Summaries

    An Executive Order Worth $100 Billion: The Impact of an Immigration Ban’s Announcement on Fortune 500 Firms’ Valuation

    by Dany Bahar, Prithwiraj Choudhury, and Britta Glennon
    President Trump’s executive order restricting entry of temporary foreign workers to the United States negatively affected the valuation of 471 publicly traded Fortune 500 firms by an estimated $100 billion.
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    Author Abstract

    On June 22, 2020, President Trump issued an executive order (EO) that suspended new work visas, barring nearly 200,000 foreign workers and their dependents from entering the United States and preventing American companies from hiring skilled immigrants using H-1B or L1 visas. Exploiting this shock, and using event study methodology analyzing the cumulative average abnormal returns (CAARs) of Fortune 500 companies following this order, we find that the EO statistically and economically significantly caused negative CAARs of up to 0.45 percent, the equivalent of over 100 billion of US dollars of losses, based on the firms’ valuation before the event. Our results are particularly pronounced for firms that had maintained or increased their reliance on skilled immigrant workers over the prior years.

    Paper Information

    • Full Working Paper Text
    • Working Paper Publication Date: October 2020
    • HBS Working Paper Number: HBS Working Paper 21-055
    • Faculty Unit(s): Technology and Operations Management
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