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    Do Interactions with Candidates Increase Voter Support and Participation? Experimental Evidence from Italy
    11 Feb 2016Working Paper Summaries

    Do Interactions with Candidates Increase Voter Support and Participation? Experimental Evidence from Italy

    by Vincent Pons
    Elections in established democracies regularly attract less than half of the voting-age population. This low electoral participation raises concerns for the overall legitimacy and stability of the democratic regimes. This study of a mid-sized city in northern Italy during the 2014 municipal elections finds that while volunteers’ visits increased participation by a significant 1.8 percentage points, surprisingly the candidates’ own visits affected neither the average voter nor any subgroup of the population, whether defined by age, gender, place of birth, or turnout history.
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    Author Abstract

    We test whether politicians can use direct contact to reconnect with citizens, increase turnout, and win votes. During the 2014 Italian municipal elections, we randomly assigned 26,000 voters to receive visits from city council candidates, from canvassers supporting the candidates' party list or to a control group. While canvassers' visits increased turnout by 1.8 percentage points, candidates had no impact on participation. Candidates increased their own vote share in the precincts they canvassed, but only at the expense of their running mates. This suggests that their failure to mobilize nonvoters resulted from focusing on securing the preferences of active voters.

    Paper Information

    • Full Working Paper Text
    • Working Paper Publication Date: January 2016
    • HBS Working Paper Number: 16-080
    • Faculty Unit(s): Business, Government and International Economy
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    Vincent Pons
    Vincent Pons
    Michael B. Kim Associate Professor of Business Administration
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    • Voting
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    • Italy

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