Author Abstract
We document the impact of India’s COVID-19 lockdown on the food supply chain. Food arrivals in wholesale markets dropped by 62 percent in the three weeks following the lockdown and wholesale prices rose by 8 percent. Six weeks after the lockdown began, volumes and prices had fully recovered. The initial food supply shock was highly correlated with early incidence of COVID-19. We provide evidence that this correlation is due more to state-level lockdown policy variation than local responses of those in the food supply chain. Finally, during the recovery phase, the correlation between the food supply disruption and COVID-19 exposure disappeared, suggesting uniform recovery.
Paper Information
- Full Working Paper Text
- Working Paper Publication Date: December 2020
- HBS Working Paper Number: 21-070
- Faculty Unit(s): Entrepreneurial Management